specify the reduced form for educ in terms of unknown

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Statistics & Econometrics-

Consider  the  following  wage  equation  where  tog(rage)  is  the  logarithm  of  monthly  earnings,  educ  denotes the years of education, age the individual's age, married is a binary variable taking the value of one if the individual is married and zero otherwise, and black is a binary variable taking the value of one if the individual is black and zero otherwise:

log(wage) = β0 + β1educ + β2age + β3married + β4black + u            (1)

The  individual's  innate  ability  is  an  unobserved  determinant  of  log(wage). We  are  concerned  that  educ  is potentially endogenous as the years of education are expected to be associated with the individual's innate ability that forms part of the error term, u. Apart from educ, all explanatory variables appearing in equation (1) are assumed to be exogenous.

We have two instrumental variable candidates for educ namely, urban, a binary variable taking the value of one if the individual lives in a city with a population that exceeds £00,000 inhabitants and zero otherwise, and ƒeduc, the years of education of the individual's father. The following estimations were obtained using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Two Stage Least Squares (2SLS).

Model 1: OLS, using observations 1-663 Dependent variable:  log(wage)


Coefficient

Std. Error

t-ratio

p-value

constant

5.14054

0.183951

27.9451

0

Educ

0.0513631

0.006617

8.6691

0

Age

0.0218306

0.004806

4.5421

0

married

0.202588

0.049123

4.1241

0

Black

-0.165176

0.053972

-3.0604

0.0023

R2                0.171908          Adjusted R2        0.166874

F (4, 658)      34.14932           P-value(F )          6.43e-26

 Model 2: OLS, using observations 1-663 Dependent variable:  educ


Coefficient

Std. Error

t-ratio

p-value

constant

9.19633

0.930052

9.888

0

age

0.054128

0.0257582

2.1014

0.036

married

-0.387216

0.262459

-1.4753

0.1406

black

-0.340275

0.293375

-1.1599

0.2465

urban

0.2592

0.176233

1.4708

0.1418

feduc

0.281173

0.0244978

11.4775

0

R2                   0.192530       Adjusted R2        0.186385

F (5, 663)         31.33049        P-value(F )          1.20e-28

Model 3: OLS, using observations 1-663 Dependent variable:  educ


Coefficient

Std. Error

t-ratio

p-value

constant

9.33107

0.926347

10.073

0

age

0.0544051

0.0257802

2.1103

0.0352

married

-0.399517

0.262557

-1.5216

0.1286

black

-0.297948

0.292218

-1.0196

0.3083

feduc

0.286062

0.0242927

11.7757

0

R2              0.189871       Adjusted R2        0.184947

F (4, 658)    38.55416        P-value(F )          5.21e-9

Model 4: OLS, using observations 1-663 Dependent variable:  log(wage)


Coefficient

Std. Error

t-ratio

p-value

constant

4.54067

0.262276

17.3126

0

educ

0.102993

0.0157511

6.5388

0

age

0.0203746

0.004795

4.2492

0

married

0.224984

0.0492879

4.5647

0

black

-0.122178

0.0552719

-2.2105

0.0274

Model 3 Residuals

-0.552454

0.0173315

-3.1876

0.0015

R2                0.184519      Adjusted R2        0.178313

F (5, 657)      29.73192      P-value(F )          2.89e-27

Model 5: 2SLS, using observations 1-663 Dependent variable: log(wage) Instrumented: educ,

Instruments: constant, age, married, black, feduc,


Coefficient

Std. Error

t-ratio

p-value

constant

4.54067

0.273471

16.6038

0

educ

0.102993

0.0164235

6.2711

0

age

0.0203746

0.0069997

4.0752

0

married

0.224984

0.0513919

4.3778

0

black

-0.122178

0.0576313

-2.12

0.034

R2              0.159800       Adjusted R2        0.154693

F (4, 658)    24.15740        P-value(F )          1.14e-18

(a) Specify the reduced form for educ in terms of unknown parameters and explain why reduced form parameters can be estimated by OLS.

(b) Test for instrumental variable relevance. Are urban and ƒeduc suitable instruments for educ?

(c) Using the relevant output carry out Hausman's endogeneity test to determine whether educ is endogenous.

(d) Based on your conclusion regarding the endogeneity test outcome specify which is your preferred estimate of the impact of an additional year of education on wage. Explain your choice.

(e) How would you implement Sargan's test for over identifying restrictions? Is it applicable here?

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