MBA723 - Currency and Country Risk Analysis - Identify the

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Currency and Country Risk Analysis

Assignment Worksheet

1. For your chosen country identify its currency's name and trading symbol below:

Country

Currency

Trading Symbol*

 

 

 

Example: United States

 

 

 

Example: U.S. dollar

 

 

 

Example: USD

Research the exchange rate over the past 12 months between the U.S. dollar and the currency you have chosen above and complete the tables below.

Currency

Today's Date

Today's Spot Exchange Rate in American terms, i.e., USD per one unit of foreign currency

Today's Spot Exchange Rate in European terms, i.e., one unit of foreign currency per USD 

 

 

 

 

 

In completing the table below express your answers in EITHER American or European terms:

Today's Exchange Rate

 

 

Exchange Rate One Year Ago

 

 

Percentage Change over Past Year

 

 

52-Week High in Past Year

 

 

2. For your selected country provide the following data:


2012 2013 2014 2015
Balance of Trade



Current account balances



Portfolio investments



Foreign direct investment



Official monetary reserves



Be sure to identify the units of currency in which the data is expressed and whether ‘000 or more digits are omitted.

3. Identify the currency's classification according to the IMF's table of Exchange Rate Arrangements.

At this site in Table 2 on pages 5-7 find the exchange rate arrangement on the left (1 of the 10 listed, ranging from "No Separate Legal Tender" for 13 countries to "Free Floating" for 29 countries) associated with the country whose currency you've chosen.

Currency Chosen Exchange  Rate Arrangement






4. Consider the data above and your prior analyses on your chosen country and answer the following questions:
i. How would you assess the economy's performance in the recent past?
ii. What are the likely effects on the currency short-term (over the next year) of the trends in the macroeconomic data?
iii. Would you invest in the economy in the short-term (over the next year) and/or medium term (over the next three years)? Explain.

Attachment:- Currency analysis guidlines.rar

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